Forecasts for pm10 in macuco, Brazil
International Journal of Development Research
Forecasts for pm10 in macuco, Brazil
Received 17th March, 2022; Received in revised form 06th April, 2022; Accepted 14th May, 2022; Published online 22nd June, 2022
Copyright © 2022, Igor Campos de Almeida Lima et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Pollutant parameter measurements are constantly carried out at monitoring stations. The object of this work is the time series of the content of particulate matter with a diameter smaller than 10 micrometers in the municipality of Macuco/RJ. The time series has no normality, stationarity, or seasonality. The database was separated into two periods: between January 2015 and December 2019 for training and between January and December 2020 for testing. The ARIMA(1,0,0), ETS(A,N,N) and AR-NN(1,1) models were adjusted. The RMSE and MAE metrics indicate that ARIMA(1,0,0) presents the best predictions.
