Covid-19 in Brazil: analysis of the pandemic short-term scenario in relation to other countries
International Journal of Development Research
Covid-19 in Brazil: analysis of the pandemic short-term scenario in relation to other countries
Received 27th March, 2020; Received in revised form 22nd April, 2020; Accepted 06th May, 2020; Published online 29th June, 2020
Copyright © 2020, Isabelle Ribeiro Barbosa et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Objective: to compare the growing trend in the cases of patients with COVID-19 in Brazil in relation to other countries. Methods: the sequence of 20 days from the first notification and the date each country reached the accumulated incidence of 0.05 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants were analyzed. For the analysis of the trend, Joinpoint Regression was performed, and the comparison of the curves was done by the parallelism and coincidence analyses. Results: the growth trend registered in Brazil (37.6%), in the 20 days after first notification, was close to that observed in the Netherlands (34.5%), Iran (33.4%), Switzerland (35.5%) and Pakistan (31.9%) and higher than the rate by China (19.7%). The analysis the sequence of 20 days from the date each country reached the accumulated incidence rate showed a daily growth trend in all countries, with the average growth in Brazil being 23.5%. With the exception of the United Kingdom, all countries analyzed showed a daily growth curve different from that of Brazil. Conclusion: Brazil has a growth trend similar to that observed by the United Kingdom and lower than that of Italy, Spain, France, and the United States.
